Interactions, stress changes, mysteries, and partial forecasts of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiya, earthquakes

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Interactions, stress changes, mysteries, and partial forecasts of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiya, earthquakes

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Interactions, stress changes, mysteries, and partial forecasts of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, earthquakes
POSTED ON MARCH 2, 2023 BY TEMBLOR


Brought closer to failure by the Feb. 6, 2023, magnitude-7.8 shock, the magnitude-7.5 shock that struck nine hours later caused aftershocks to turn on in some zones and off in others. But why both shocks nucleated on secondary faults — one quite small, the other misaligned for failure — is unclear. Moreover, decades earlier, two independent groups noted the heightened risk of large earthquakes in the approximate location of the magnitude-7.8 event. And what do these quakes suggest about potential California ruptures?


By Ross S. Stein, Temblor, Inc., Shinji Toda, IRIDeS, Tohoku University, Ali Deger Özbakir, Temblor, Inc., Volkan Sevilgen, Temblor, Inc., Hector Gonzalez-Huizar, CICESE, Gabriel Lotto, Temblor, Inc., and Serkan Sevilgen, Temblor, Inc.


Citation: Stein, R.S.., Toda, S., Özbakir, A. D., Sevilgen, V., Gonzalez-Huizar, H., Lotto, G., Sevilgen, S. 2023, Interactions, stress changes, mysteries, and partial forecasts of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, earthquakes, Temblor, http://doi.org/10.32858/temblor.299
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